The traditional approach to the fourth quarter is dead. Brands are still operating on a defunct playbook that views October through December as a chaotic sprint – the “Super Bowl” of the year, and an end-of-year peak, followed by a necessary collapse in January.

The Old Q4 Trap
The outdated strategy involves six months of planning for just eight weeks of maximum revenue, followed by four months of recovery.
- November/December: Go all-in. Maximum spend across every channel. Promotions stacked on promotions.
- The Cost: You pay an inflated Customer Acquisition Cost (CAC) because you are competing with every other brand simultaneously, compressing margins with heavy discounts.
- The Outcome: By December 26th, the customers you paid a premium for are gone. You trained them to only buy during promotion periods, resulting in a low 15% repeat purchase rate for Q4-acquired customers.
- The Aftermath: You exhaust your budget and team, letting momentum go dark. You start January from zero, wasting Q1 rebuilding audience signals and brand presence.
This method is highly inefficient and creates a predictable cycle of massive Q4 projects and retainers, which benefits legacy agencies more than it benefits your business.
The New Q4: Harvest and Compound
Winning brands view Q4 not as the destination, but as the payoff for the preceding nine months of work (the Momentum Model). For these modern brands, Q4 is about harvesting a warm, engaged audience, not cold prospecting.
Q4 (October-December) Strategy for Modern Brands:
- Activate Your Warm Audience: Instead of desperate, blanket discounts, activate the audience you have been consistently building and warming throughout Q1, Q2, and Q3 with strategic, value-based offers.
- Lower CAC: Your CAC in Q4 is significantly lower (up to 50% less than competitors) because you are retargeting engaged, familiar audiences, not bidding against everyone for cold traffic.
- Proven Creative: Your marketing creative is already battle-tested and optimized, based on successful performance during the less-competitive months. You eliminate the gamble on new holiday creative.
- Profitability: You are profitable in Q4 because you built a brand customers want to buy from year-round. Competitors are often breaking even or losing money just to hit a revenue target.
- Compounding Effect: The engagement and volume of Q4 further optimize algorithm-driven platforms (Meta, Google), setting you up for a high-momentum start to the new year.
The Mathematics of Consistency
When comparing two brands with the same $1.2 million annual marketing budget:
| Brand Strategy | Q4 Spend (Example) | Q4 CAC (Approx.) | Q4 Customer Quality | Marketing Efficiency |
| Q4-Focused Brand (Old Playbook) | $750K (All-in) | $85 (Highly competitive) | 15% Repeat Purchase Rate | 1.03x |
| Momentum Brand (New Approach) | $350K (Harvest) | $45 (Blended/Warm Audience) | 45% Repeat Purchase Rate | 4.89x |
The Momentum Brand spent less than half on Q4 acquisition but acquired higher-value customers consistently throughout the year, generating 4.75x more annual revenue from the same budget.
The Required Shift in Mindset
To stop planning Q4 like it’s a desperate scramble, CMOs must answer a crucial question:
What would we need to believe about our business to feel comfortable NOT doing a massive Black Friday promotion?
The answer lies in focusing on consistent growth (January through September), allowing Q4 to naturally become the highest-volume period for an already-working machine. Q4 is not the season; it’s the culmination of a 12-month marathon.
Q1 Momentum Marketing Strategy: Capturing Momentum While Competitors Go Dark
For brands operating on the Momentum Model, Q1 (January, February, March) is not a “recovery period” but a strategic window for maximizing efficiency and acquiring high-value customers at low cost.
The Old Q1 vs. The New Q1
| Old Thinking (Q4-Focused) | New Thinking (Momentum Model) |
| “Crickets. Budget depleted. Let’s regroup.” | “Capture all the momentum from Q4 while competitors go dark.” |
| Starting from zero, waiting for budget approval. | Doubling down on proven creative and warm audiences. |
| Letting paid media go dark, increasing future CPMs. | Sustained, consistent spend to keep algorithms optimized. |
Q1 Objectives and Actions
Q1 is the time to acquire customers and build owned audience assets when your rivals are sleeping. Acquisition costs are typically 40% lower than during the chaos of December.
1. Convert Q4 Buyers into Repeat Customers
- Action: Launch strategic, post-holiday “New Year, New You” or “Wellness” campaigns (for relevant verticals).
- Goal: Convert the one-time holiday purchasers into loyal customers using strong onboarding sequences (email/SMS), education on product usage, and showcasing the long-term value of the brand, not just another discount.
- Why it works: You are the brand that follows up and nurtures the customer relationship that competitors paid for and immediately abandoned.
2. Test and Optimize Creatives
- Action: Dedicate budget to testing new creative concepts, audience segments, and messaging.
- Goal: Build a robust pipeline of high-performing creative that can be scaled later in the year. Testing during Q1 is inexpensive and low-pressure, allowing for faster learning cycles.
- Why it works: By April, you will have validated creative assets ready for scaling, while competitors will still be scrambling to restart their testing.
3. Aggressive Owned Audience Building
- Action: Launch low-cost campaigns focused specifically on driving email and SMS sign-ups (lead generation).
- Goal: Build your owned audience at a fraction of the Q4 acquisition cost. These assets (email lists, SMS subscribers, social followers) are zero-party data that compound value throughout the year.
- Why it works: You are using the low CPM environment to build a foundational asset that increases customer lifetime value (CLV) and reduces dependency on expensive platform advertising later.
4. Build Content Moats (SEO/Thought Leadership)
- Action: Invest in creating long-form, high-value content (SEO-optimized articles, educational videos, podcast content) that generates organic traffic and credibility.
- Goal: Create compounding assets that will bring in free, high-intent traffic for years, insulating your business from reliance on paid media spikes.
- Why it works: Organic growth is slow but consistent. Starting in Q1 means this content has 9-12 months to rank, ensuring you have a steady stream of traffic well before the intensity of the next Q4.
In short, Q1 is about maximizing the value of your most recent customers and investing in foundational assets (community, content, and tested creative) while your competitors are financially and mentally exhausted.
Yes, let’s explore the strategies for Q2 (April-June) and Q3 (July-September) in the Momentum Model.
These two quarters are critical for turning Q1’s efficiency into measurable growth and building the final foundation that maximizes the payoff in Q4.
Q2 Momentum Marketing Strategy (April-June): Expand and Experiment
The second quarter is the prime time for building brand equity and expanding your reach while competition remains relatively low. Having successfully established momentum and validated creative in Q1, you can now focus on growth levers that compound over time.
Key Focus: Brand Building and Expansion
| Old Thinking | New Thinking |
| “Gear up for summer if relevant, otherwise coast.” | “This is prime time for brand building, expansion, and cementing customer loyalty.” |
1. Launch New Products Strategically
- Action: Introduce new products, line extensions, or bundles to your now-warm and engaged customer base.
- Goal: Increase the Average Order Value (AOV) and Customer Lifetime Value (CLV) of your existing audience. You mitigate the risk of a new launch by introducing it to customers who already trust your brand (acquired cheaply in Q1 or retained from the prior Q4).
- Why it works: Launching to an owned, warm audience is cheaper and yields higher initial conversion rates than launching cold.
2. Test New Channels and Partnerships
- Action: Allocate the freed-up budget to test channels that require longer ramp-up times but offer high return, such as influencer marketing, podcast sponsorships, or retail media networks.
- Goal: Diversify your traffic and acquisition streams away from reliance on Meta/Google and reduce platform risk.
- Why it works: Testing new channels when CPMs are low minimizes the financial risk of experimentation.
3. Build Content Moats (Scaling Q1’s Foundation)
- Action: Double down on your best-performing organic content (SEO, YouTube, long-form blog posts) identified in Q1.
- Goal: Build a defensible position in your niche. This organic traffic acts as a non-paid safety net, bringing in high-intent customers year-round.
Q3 Momentum Marketing Strategy (July-September): Accelerate and Scale
Q3 is the period for disciplined acceleration. With nine months of data (Q4 previous, Q1, Q2 current), you know exactly what creative, audience, and channels are working. This is where you scale those winners before the competition floods the market.
Key Focus: Scaling Proven Winners and Audience Warming
| Old Thinking | New Thinking |
| “Start planning Q4.” | “Scale what’s working and build the Q4 audience NOW.” |
1. Double Down on High Performers
- Action: Take the top-performing creative, audiences, and offers validated in Q1 and Q2 and scale the budget behind them.
- Goal: Maximize revenue output during a stable period. By focusing solely on proven assets, you ensure your paid media budget is spent efficiently.
- Why it works: You are scaling with certainty, not gambling. You ensure your best ads are running when other brands are just starting their Q4 creative development.
2. Pre-Holiday Audience Building
- Action: Launch specific, lower-intensity campaigns designed to bring new prospects into your owned audience (email/SMS) or create warm, engaged lookalike audiences in platforms like Meta.
- Goal: Build your Q4 audience NOW so they are warm when November hits.
- Why it works: You can acquire email subscribers in August for a fraction of the cost it takes to get them in November. This allows you to retarget them during Q4 offers, which is much cheaper than prospecting cold traffic.
3. Secure and Finalize Q4 Assets
- Action: Secure your media placements, influencer partnerships, and logistics early.
- Goal: Lock in your costs and secure prime placement before the rush. You become a client of choice for agencies and creators because you’re organized and early.
Summary: The Momentum Advantage
By the time October arrives, the Momentum Brand has 9 months of proven creative, warm audiences, compounding organic traffic, and diversified channels. Q4 is then simply a matter of harvesting the volume from a stable, profitable machine, while competitors are just starting their engine from zero.
Which brand are you going to be?
Stop planning Q4. Start building momentum.
The calendar doesn’t care about your promotional calendar anymore. And neither do your customers.




